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Announcements
Portfolio Strategy
Superforecasting
Risk Management
Probability-weighted Return
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor
External Articles
Essentia Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Benn Dunn
Behavioral Finance
Arthur Laffer
Analytics
The Marshmallow Experiment
Portfolio Strategy
The Marshmallow Experiment
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Marshmallow Experiment, delayed gratification, Dr. Walter Mischel
5/24/11
Understanding Dividends - Michael Mouboussin Edition
External Articles
Understanding Dividends - Michael Mouboussin Edition
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Michael Mouboussin, dividends, capital accumulation
4/12/11
Will We Ever Learn? The Scary Similarities Of The Subprime Mortgage And Junk Bond Crises
External Articles
Will We Ever Learn? The Scary Similarities Of The Subprime Mortgage And Junk Bond Crises
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Subprime Mortgage, Junk Bond, Sorkin, Klarman
3/15/11
Nice Surprises – The View From The Blue Ridge
External Articles
Nice Surprises – The View From The Blue Ridge
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Warren Buffet, diversification, Berkshire-Hathaway, Broyhill Affinity Fund
2/1/11
Why Hedge Funds Benefit From The Asymmetry Of Returns
Portfolio Strategy
Why Hedge Funds Benefit From The Asymmetry Of Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, hedge funds, asymmetry, upside, downside, capture
1/20/11
Which Way Is Up? Why Six Of One Is Not Always Worth A Half Dozen Of Another.
Portfolio Strategy
Which Way Is Up? Why Six Of One Is Not Always Worth A Half Dozen Of Another.
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, downside, compounding portfolios, empirical proof
12/28/10
Untangling Skill And Luck – Mauboussin
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Untangling Skill And Luck – Mauboussin
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Michael Mauboussin, Untangling Skill and Luck, portfolio management
11/16/10
Correlation And Macro Investing
Portfolio Strategy
Correlation And Macro Investing
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Michael Mauboussin, Untangling Skill and Luck, Correlation Index
10/16/10
The Inefficient Market Theory
Portfolio Strategy
The Inefficient Market Theory
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, fundamental investor, mispriced
9/13/10
Institutional Investor | 8 Mistakes Series – Final Installment Released Today
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor | 8 Mistakes Series – Final Installment Released Today
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Institutional Investor, 8 Mistakes, position sizing
9/13/10
Institutional Investor Article Series: 8 Mistakes Money Managers Make
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor Article Series: 8 Mistakes Money Managers Make
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Institutional Investor, 8 Mistakes, position sizing
9/2/10
Understanding Kelly For Portfolio Management
Portfolio Strategy
Understanding Kelly For Portfolio Management
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Kelly Formula, Fortune's Formula, Portfolio Management
8/19/10
Probably Is Not A Probability
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Probably Is Not A Probability
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, probability, probability expression
8/4/10
Dividend Policy Article With Dr. Laffer
Arthur Laffer
External Articles
Dividend Policy Article With Dr. Laffer
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Arthur Laffer, dividends, dividend policy
7/19/10
Hurdles Of Homegrown - Is Excel A Real Option?
Portfolio Strategy
Hurdles Of Homegrown - Is Excel A Real Option?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Microsoft Excel, fund management
7/6/10
The Investor’s Serenity Prayer
Portfolio Strategy
The Investor’s Serenity Prayer
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, random variable, Michael Mauboussin
6/17/10
Assumptions On Assumptions – A Good Guess Is Not Enough
Portfolio Strategy
Assumptions On Assumptions – A Good Guess Is Not Enough
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, assumptions, probability
6/1/10
The Random Walk Spoiled
External Articles
The Random Walk Spoiled
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Manish Malhotra, Advisor Perspective, random walk
5/11/10
Tiburon Tenets (Part 2): Position Size Is Based On Probability Adjusted Risk/Reward
Portfolio Strategy
Tiburon Tenets (Part 2): Position Size Is Based On Probability Adjusted Risk/Reward
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Peter Lupoff, Tiburon Capital, risk, reward
4/23/10
Tiburon Tenets (Part 1): Capitalizing On The Random Walk
Portfolio Strategy
Tiburon Tenets (Part 1): Capitalizing On The Random Walk
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Peter Lupoff, Tiburon Capital, random walk, Good Stock Paradox
4/20/10
Fundamental Vs. Traditional Risk Management
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Fundamental Vs. Traditional Risk Management
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, risk management
3/25/10
The Beauty Of Robyn Dawes - Proof That Intuition Is No Match For A Simple Model
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
The Beauty Of Robyn Dawes - Proof That Intuition Is No Match For A Simple Model
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Robyn Dawes, position sizing, decision maing, portfolio management
3/12/10
5 Ways Analysts Benefit From Alpha Theory
Portfolio Strategy
5 Ways Analysts Benefit From Alpha Theory
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, analyst
2/25/10
"Think Twice" - Mauboussin's New Book
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
"Think Twice" - Mauboussin's New Book
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Michael Mauboussin, Think Twice, decision making
1/19/10
To Price Target Or Not To Price Target…That Is The Question
Portfolio Optimization
To Price Target Or Not To Price Target…That Is The Question
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, price targets, cognitive bias
1/6/10
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE: YOU MUST USE PROBABILITY-WEIGHTED RETURN TO SIZE POSITIONS
Portfolio Strategy
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE: YOU MUST USE PROBABILITY-WEIGHTED RETURN TO SIZE POSITIONS
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, probability-weighted return, position sizing, Monte Carlo
12/14/09
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR ARTICLE: THE PROBLEM WITH DIVIDENDS
Institutional Investor
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR ARTICLE: THE PROBLEM WITH DIVIDENDS
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Institutional Investor, dividends
12/4/09
Think Like Warren Buffett: "The Warren Buffet Portfolio"
External Articles
Think Like Warren Buffett: "The Warren Buffet Portfolio"
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Warren Buffet, investment tenets
11/17/09
Knowing The Financial Spread - Investor Lessons From WhatIfSports.Com
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Knowing The Financial Spread - Investor Lessons From WhatIfSports.Com
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, WhatIf Sports, sports analysis
10/30/09
The Probabilistic Theory Of Relativity
Portfolio Strategy
The Probabilistic Theory Of Relativity
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Theory of Relativity, probability
10/27/09
The Probability Problem
Risk Management
The Probability Problem
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, risk-adjusted return, analysis confidence rating
10/7/09
Institutional Investor Magazine Article: A Plea To Put Down The Mental Calculator
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor Magazine Article: A Plea To Put Down The Mental Calculator
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Institutional Investor, risk-adjusted return, hedge funds
9/23/09
What Is Your Investment’s Risk-Adjusted Return? The Alpha Theory Calculator Will Tell You.
Portfolio Optimization
What Is Your Investment’s Risk-Adjusted Return? The Alpha Theory Calculator Will Tell You.
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, risk-edjusted return, position sizing
9/3/09
Why Do You Buy An Asset?
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Why Do You Buy An Asset?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, probability-weighted return, position sizing, asset
8/5/09
Good Sight, Good Insight: Risk Management By Ed Seykota
External Articles
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Good Sight, Good Insight: Risk Management By Ed Seykota
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, risk management, Ed Seykota, portfolio management, Kelly
7/22/09
True Transparency: More Than Just Information
External Articles
True Transparency: More Than Just Information
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, transparency, True Transparency, position sizing
7/8/09
Wall Street Journal Op-Eds: My Two Recent Articles On Taxes And Inflation
Arthur Laffer
External Articles
Wall Street Journal Op-Eds: My Two Recent Articles On Taxes And Inflation
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Arthur Laffer, Ronald Reagan, Wall Street Journal, taxes, inflation
6/14/09
You Should Know About "More Than You Know"
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
You Should Know About "More Than You Know"
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Michael Mauboussin, More Than You Know, Consilient Investing
6/10/09
Is Market Movement Important To Portfolio Returns?
Portfolio Strategy
Is Market Movement Important To Portfolio Returns?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, market movement, portfolio returns, portfolio performance
5/26/09
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