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Kelly Criterion
Announcements
Portfolio Strategy
Superforecasting
Risk Management
Probability-weighted Return
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor
External Articles
Essentia Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Benn Dunn
Behavioral Finance
Arthur Laffer
Analytics
Do Price Targets Matter In Volatile Markets? (And, Why Alpha Theory Should Be A Starting Point Even In Turbulent Times)
Portfolio Optimization
Do Price Targets Matter In Volatile Markets? (And, Why Alpha Theory Should Be A Starting Point Even In Turbulent Times)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, price targets, volatile markets, down directional market
Oct 12, 2015
How I Used Alpha Theory To Help My Girlfriend Land Her Dream Job
Portfolio Strategy
Analytics
Risk Management
How I Used Alpha Theory To Help My Girlfriend Land Her Dream Job
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, positive expected return, negative expected return, price targets, probability
Sep 28, 2015
Impact Of Minimum And Preferred Return Settings On Optimal Position Size
Portfolio Optimization
Impact Of Minimum And Preferred Return Settings On Optimal Position Size
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, optimal position size, risk-adjusted return, probability-weighted return
Aug 24, 2015
Four Reasons Shorts Are Harder Than Longs
Portfolio Strategy
Four Reasons Shorts Are Harder Than Longs
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, short stocks, market trend, cost to borrow, asymmetry
Jul 24, 2015
Leverage Adjusted Returns
Portfolio Strategy
Leverage Adjusted Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, hedge funds, leverage adjusted, Sharpe Ratio
Jun 23, 2015
Eight Of The 50 Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Portfolio Optimization
Eight Of The 50 Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Novus, hedge funds, position sizing, stock selection
May 26, 2015
Man + Machine: The Ultimate Decision Maker
Portfolio Strategy
Man + Machine: The Ultimate Decision Maker
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Peter Thiel, Zero to One, man, machine
Apr 27, 2015
20% Of The Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Portfolio Optimization
20% Of The Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Wall Street Journal, hedge funds, position sizing, stock selection
Mar 25, 2015
Capitalizing On The Random Walk (Part 2)
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Capitalizing On The Random Walk (Part 2)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, random walk, trading, stock trades
Feb 27, 2015
The Worst Year Ever For Hedge Funds (Novus Article)
External Articles
The Worst Year Ever For Hedge Funds (Novus Article)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Novus, hedge funds, position sizing
Jan 30, 2015
Ignorance Is Bliss...But Bliss Is Expensive
Portfolio Strategy
Ignorance Is Bliss...But Bliss Is Expensive
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, ignorance, investing
Dec 16, 2014
Agonizing Over Annualizing
Portfolio Strategy
Agonizing Over Annualizing
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, annualized returns, multi-year returns, compound annual growth rate
Nov 17, 2014
Checklist Checkup
Risk Management
Checklist Checkup
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, checklists, fundamental, technical, statistical, risk, qualitative, quantitative, price targets, probabilities
Oct 27, 2014
Instinct To Analytics: A Decision Making Spectrum
Portfolio Strategy
Instinct To Analytics: A Decision Making Spectrum
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, decision theory, instinct, analytical model
Sep 29, 2014
Bubble Brain – And Why It Is Ok To Sell “Too Early”
Portfolio Strategy
Bubble Brain – And Why It Is Ok To Sell “Too Early”
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, value investors, virtues of selling
Aug 27, 2014
Probability Inflation: The Risk Of Ignoring Batting Average – Part 2
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Probability Inflation: The Risk Of Ignoring Batting Average – Part 2
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, probability-weighted return, batting average, arithmetic, geometric
Jul 18, 2014
Probability Inflation: The Risk Of Ignoring Batting Average – Part 1
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Probability Inflation: The Risk Of Ignoring Batting Average – Part 1
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, batting average, Cameron Hight, probability inflation
Jun 17, 2014
Market Reversal In 2014 And How Alpha Theory Helps Part 2
Risk Management
Market Reversal In 2014 And How Alpha Theory Helps Part 2
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Benn Dunn, market reversal, hedge funds
May 16, 2014
Market Reversal In 2014 And How Alpha Theory Helps
Risk Management
Market Reversal In 2014 And How Alpha Theory Helps
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Benn Dunn, market volatility
Apr 29, 2014
Dynamic Factor Modeling Reveals Hidden Risks
External Articles
Risk Management
Dynamic Factor Modeling Reveals Hidden Risks
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Benn Dunn, risk.net, dynamic factor modeling, risk measurement
Mar 21, 2014
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part 5)
Portfolio Strategy
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part 5)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, best practices, The Checklist Manifesto, checklists, Atul Gawande
Feb 28, 2014
Missing Message Of Moneyball
Portfolio Optimization
Missing Message Of Moneyball
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Institutional Investor, Moneyball, hedge funds. investing
Dec 31, 2013
Less Correlation Gives Stock Pickers Opportunity
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Less Correlation Gives Stock Pickers Opportunity
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Benn Dunn, correlation, Risk Consulting, risk.net
Nov 5, 2013
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part Four)
Portfolio Strategy
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part Four)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, best practices, mental capital, maximize return
Oct 29, 2013
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part Three)
Portfolio Strategy
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part Three)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, best practices, explicit downside, Kelly Criterion
Sep 27, 2013
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part Two)
Portfolio Strategy
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part Two)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, best practices, devil's advocate
Aug 30, 2013
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part One)
Portfolio Strategy
Alpha Theory Best Practices (Part One)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, probability weighted return, best practices, downside
Jul 31, 2013
The Consistency Of Correlation: How Stable Is My Beta?
Portfolio Strategy
The Consistency Of Correlation: How Stable Is My Beta?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, correlation, beta, Benn Dunn
Jun 28, 2013
The Checklist: Evolution Of An Effective Decision Process Part 2
External Articles
The Checklist: Evolution Of An Effective Decision Process Part 2
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, The Checklist Manifesto, Atul Gawande, venture capital, checklists
May 1, 2013
The Checklist: Evolution Of An Effective Decision Process Part 1
External Articles
The Checklist: Evolution Of An Effective Decision Process Part 1
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, The Checklist Manifesto, Atul Gawande, explicit, implicit, checklists
Apr 30, 2013
March Madness 2013 - Your Mom Always Wins
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
March Madness 2013 - Your Mom Always Wins
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, March Madness, KenPom, adjusted winning percentage, probability
Mar 18, 2013
Kelly Criterion In Practice Part 2
External Articles
Kelly Criterion In Practice Part 2
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Kelly Criterion, Expected Return, position sizing, probability-weighted chance
Feb 1, 2013
Kelly Criterion In Practice Part 1
External Articles
Kelly Criterion In Practice Part 1
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Kelly Criterion, GrizzlyRock Capital, CAGR, position sizing
Jan 31, 2013
The Real Cost In Cost To Borrow
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
The Real Cost In Cost To Borrow
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Cost to Borrow, risk-adjusted return, Hard to Borrow
Dec 27, 2012
Moneyball For Money Managers
External Articles
Moneyball For Money Managers
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Moneyball, decision theory, price targets, probabilities
Nov 29, 2012
What’s Up With Up/Down Ratio?
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
What’s Up With Up/Down Ratio?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Up/Down Ratio, position sizing
Oct 30, 2012
The End Of The World As We Know It?
External Articles
The End Of The World As We Know It?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Nassim Taleb, Mark Cuban, Wall Street
Sep 30, 2012
Improve Your Chances To Raise Capital
Portfolio Strategy
Improve Your Chances To Raise Capital
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, raise capital, Frumerman & Nemeth
Aug 22, 2012
Investing On Empty
External Articles
Investing On Empty
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Cabot Research, Tired Investing,
Jul 19, 2012
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