Blog

Probability of Breaching Price Target

2/15/23
All
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Announcements
Portfolio Strategy
Superforecasting
Risk Management
Probability-weighted Return
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor
External Articles
Essentia Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Benn Dunn
Behavioral Finance
Arthur Laffer
Analytics
Alpha Theory Press
Probability of Breaching Price Target
Portfolio Strategy
Probability of Breaching Price Target
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, price target, probability, CenterBook Partners, forecast
2/15/23
Alpha Theory Unveils New Brand Identity and Website Reflecting the Company’s Transformation
Alpha Theory Press
Announcements
Alpha Theory Unveils New Brand Identity and Website Reflecting the Company’s Transformation
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, new brand, portfolio management, new website
1/11/23
A Letter From the CEO
Announcements
Alpha Theory Press
A Letter From the CEO
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory Blog, Cameron Hight, investment management, portfolio optimization, research management platform
1/10/23
Workflow: The #1 Reason Funds Say “No” To Alpha Theory
Analytics
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Workflow: The #1 Reason Funds Say “No” To Alpha Theory
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, portfolio optimization, price targets, Excel Connect
12/27/22
Ask Me Anything - Q&A Session with Mohnish Pabrai
Alpha Theory Press
Portfolio Strategy
Ask Me Anything - Q&A Session with Mohnish Pabrai
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Mohnish Pabrai, Warren Buffet, Charlie Munger, Pabrai Investment Funds, UNC Kenan-Flagler Business School, Ask Me Anything
12/27/22
Loss Aversion And The Impact Of Daily P&L
Behavioral Finance
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Loss Aversion And The Impact Of Daily P&L
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, loss aversion, P&L, Prospect Theory
11/28/22
The IKEA Effect: Don’t Overvalue Positions You’ve Built Yourself
Analytics
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
The IKEA Effect: Don’t Overvalue Positions You’ve Built Yourself
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, IKEA, explicit price targets, position sizing
10/27/22
The Impact Of Large Trades: Helping CenterBook Partner Funds Profit From Transaction Cost Analysis
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
The Impact Of Large Trades: Helping CenterBook Partner Funds Profit From Transaction Cost Analysis
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, CenterBook Partners, quantitative, qualitative, alpha horizon
9/23/22
What Does It Mean To Be A Good Stock Picker? Part 2
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Probability-weighted Return
What Does It Mean To Be A Good Stock Picker? Part 2
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, stock picker, slugging percentage, randomness equation
8/11/22
What Does It Mean To Be A Good Stock Picker?
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Probability-weighted Return
What Does It Mean To Be A Good Stock Picker?
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, stock picker, batting average
7/28/22
8 Data Science Resources For Investment Management Professionals
Analytics
8 Data Science Resources For Investment Management Professionals
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, investment management professionals
6/24/22
Turtle Creek: The Discipline Behind 21% Compound Returns
Portfolio Strategy
Turtle Creek: The Discipline Behind 21% Compound Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, portfolio optimization, Turtle Creek
5/26/22
The Alternative Data Podcast: The CenterBook Episode, With Ross Fabricant
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
The Alternative Data Podcast: The CenterBook Episode, With Ross Fabricant
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, CenterBook Partners, The Alternative Data Podcast
4/28/22
March Madness Math 2.0
Analytics
March Madness Math 2.0
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, March Madness, win percentage, KenPom, probability
3/15/22
The 10-Year Streak: Alpha Theory 2021 Year In Review
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
The 10-Year Streak: Alpha Theory 2021 Year In Review
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, All Manager dataset, price targets, position sizing
2/25/22
The January Effect: Cooling Investor Returns
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
The January Effect: Cooling Investor Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha theory blog, investor returns, All-Manager Alpha Theory dataset, tax-loss harvesting
1/27/22
A Lack Of Freshness Spoils Returns
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
A Lack Of Freshness Spoils Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, freshness, price targets, Good Judgement Inc
12/29/21
Getting Comfortable With Many, Micro Updates
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Getting Comfortable With Many, Micro Updates
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, superforecasters, superforecasting, Good Judgement Inc, micro updates
11/29/21
KISS, Or How To Make Money By Following Your Research
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Probability-weighted Return
KISS, Or How To Make Money By Following Your Research
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, probability-weighted return, edge, ROIC, CAGR
10/27/21
The Cost Of Volatility – The Path Dependency Of Returns
Alpha Theory Press
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
The Cost Of Volatility – The Path Dependency Of Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, volatility, path dependency
9/29/21
Caveats In Compounding
Alpha Theory Press
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Caveats In Compounding
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, compound annual growth rate, CAGR, compounding
8/31/21
Gaining Confidence In Your Confidence
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Gaining Confidence In Your Confidence
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, confidence, capital allocation, confidence checklist, optimal position sizing
7/31/21
Joe Knows: Why Active Managers Should Codify Their Process
Analytics
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Joe Knows: Why Active Managers Should Codify Their Process
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Joe Wiggins, idea generation, noise cancelling, identifying value-add, portfolio construction
6/30/21
We’re Getting Better All The Time
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Probability-weighted Return
We’re Getting Better All The Time
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, systematic portfolio, systematic portfolio outperforming, CenterBook Partners
5/28/21
HedgeD Podcast With Cameron Hight
Alpha Theory Press
HedgeD Podcast With Cameron Hight
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, HedgeD, Concentration Manifesto, CenterBook Partners
4/9/21
Capital Allocators Book Release By Ted Seides
Alpha Theory Press
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Clare Flynn Levy
Essentia Analytics
Capital Allocators Book Release By Ted Seides
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Capital Allocators, Ted Seides, Cameron Hight, Concentration Manifesto
3/30/21
Alpha Theory 2020 Year In Review
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Alpha Theory 2020 Year In Review
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron hight, Equity Hedge Index, price targets, position sizing
2/27/21
Alpha Theory Is Giving Back
Alpha Theory Press
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Probability-weighted Return
Risk Management
Alpha Theory Is Giving Back
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, charity, donate
1/18/21
Optimizing Usage For Optimal Returns (Part 2) - Position Level Analysis
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Optimizing Usage For Optimal Returns (Part 2) - Position Level Analysis
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, optimal returns, freshness, coverage
12/29/20
Don't Be A Turkey: Optimizing Usage For Optimal Returns
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Optimization
Portfolio Strategy
Don't Be A Turkey: Optimizing Usage For Optimal Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, ROIC, optimal returns, coverage, freshness
11/30/20
Best Ideas Update
Alpha Theory Press
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Best Ideas Update
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Concentration Manifesto, Best Ideas
10/16/20
The Benefits Of Manager Aggregation
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
The Benefits Of Manager Aggregation
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, stock pickers, risk management, diversification, down markets
9/11/20
Performance During The Pandemic (Part 2)
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Probability-weighted Return
Performance During The Pandemic (Part 2)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, COVID, optimal position sizing
8/21/20
Performance During The Pandemic (Part 1)
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Probability-weighted Return
Performance During The Pandemic (Part 1)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, COVID, alpha returns
7/31/20
The Short End Of The Stick
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
The Short End Of The Stick
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, short portfolio, alpha returns
6/19/20
New Constructs Announces Earnings Distortion Scores Integrated with Alpha Theory
Announcements
New Constructs Announces Earnings Distortion Scores Integrated with Alpha Theory
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, New Constructs, Integration, Earnings Distortion Scores, Cameron Hight, David Trainer
5/20/20
Alpha Theory Announces Partnership With New Constructs
Alpha Theory Press
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Alpha Theory Announces Partnership With New Constructs
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, New Constructs, earnings distortion scores
5/15/20
A Fundamentalist’s Attempt To Take Advantage Of Factor Moves
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
A Fundamentalist’s Attempt To Take Advantage Of Factor Moves
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Omega Point, factors, fundamental investment
4/4/20
Alpha Theory 2019 Year In Review
Analytics
Behavioral Finance
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Alpha Theory 2019 Year In Review
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, equity hedge index, research slippage
3/6/20
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Categories
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Announcements
Portfolio Strategy
Superforecasting
Risk Management
Probability-weighted Return
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor
External Articles
Essentia Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Benn Dunn
Behavioral Finance
Arthur Laffer
Analytics
Alpha Theory Press

Learn how Alpha Theory's platform provides investment teams with a framework to make investment decisions that drive performance.

Request a demo
Join the Alpha Theory Community. Sign up to receive our blog.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Alpha Theory logo
Founded in 2006, Alpha Theory is a leading portfolio management and decision process improvement platform for global investment managers that enables investment teams to leverage their research and data to efficiently size positions and identify uncaptured alpha, driving performance.
Solutions
OverviewAlpha CentralAlpha ViewAlpha EngineAlpha Insights
Resources
FAQ
About
OverviewOur StoryCareers
© 2022 Alpha Theory™. All rights reserved.
Privacy PolicySecuritySystem Requirements