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Announcements
Portfolio Strategy
Superforecasting
Risk Management
Probability-weighted Return
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor
External Articles
Essentia Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Benn Dunn
Behavioral Finance
Arthur Laffer
Analytics
Crist On Value
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Crist On Value
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Crist on Value, probability-weighted return
7/28/17
Jason Zweig On Being Your Own Quant
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Jason Zweig On Being Your Own Quant
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, cognitive bias, Magnetar Capital
7/5/17
The Value Of Price Targets
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
The Value Of Price Targets
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Return on Invested Capital, ROIC, price targets
6/1/17
Changing The Course Of Active Management — The Concentration Manifesto
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Changing The Course Of Active Management — The Concentration Manifesto
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Concentration Manifesto, maximize edge
5/15/17
Investor Bias Seen In Data
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Investor Bias Seen In Data
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, investor bias, optimal position size
4/17/17
Ted Seides - Alpha Theory Book Club
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Ted Seides - Alpha Theory Book Club
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Ted Seides, hedge fund, book club
3/13/17
Stock Picking Is Hard
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Stock Picking Is Hard
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, CNBC, Berkshire Hathaway, The Mundanity of Excellence, Michael Mauboussin
2/24/17
ALPHA THEORY - 2016 YEAR IN REVIEW
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
ALPHA THEORY - 2016 YEAR IN REVIEW
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, HFRI Equity Hedge Index, optimal position sizing, return on invested capital, forecasting
1/31/17
2017 NEW YEAR’S RESOLUTIONS
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
2017 NEW YEAR’S RESOLUTIONS
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, New Years Resolution, investment process, build habits, achieve goals
12/28/16
Using Analytics To Improve Investment Process
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Using Analytics To Improve Investment Process
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, forecast analytics, probability,
11/30/16
LUCK VS. SKILL IN INVESTING (Alpha Theory Book Club With Michael Mauboussin)
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
LUCK VS. SKILL IN INVESTING (Alpha Theory Book Club With Michael Mauboussin)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Success Equation, Michael Mauboussin, book club, luck and skill
10/7/16
The Day The Music Died
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting
The Day The Music Died
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Fantasy Football, Cameron Hight
9/12/16
THE CROWDING CONUNDRUM
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
THE CROWDING CONUNDRUM
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, crowdedness, position sizing, Novus
9/1/16
The Power Of Process — How Fundamental Investors Benefit From Quantitative Thinking
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
The Power Of Process — How Fundamental Investors Benefit From Quantitative Thinking
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, quantitative thinking, explicit forecasts, position sizing
8/11/16
Superforecasting – Alpha Theory Book Club
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting
Superforecasting – Alpha Theory Book Club
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, superforecasting, Cameron Hight, book club
7/18/16
How Good Are My Analysts? Building A Better Hedge Fund Through Moneyball & Superforecasting
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting
How Good Are My Analysts? Building A Better Hedge Fund Through Moneyball & Superforecasting
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, accuracy score, Moneyball, batting average, price targets, probabilities
6/21/16
All In A Day’s Work – Mental Capital Allocation
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
All In A Day’s Work – Mental Capital Allocation
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, mental capital, position sizing
5/31/16
The Misperception Of False Precision For Price Targets And Probabilities
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
The Misperception Of False Precision For Price Targets And Probabilities
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, price targets, probabilities, downside, risk-reward
4/25/16
 Active Managers: The Time Is Now
Clare Flynn Levy
Essentia Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Active Managers: The Time Is Now
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Essentia Analytics, hedge, long-only
4/4/16
Ruminations On Risk
Benn Dunn
Risk Management
Ruminations On Risk
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Benn Dunn, Alpha Theory Advisors
3/21/16
How Do Hedge Funds Become Better Forecasters? - A Collaborative Study Between Novus And Alpha Theory.
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
How Do Hedge Funds Become Better Forecasters? - A Collaborative Study Between Novus And Alpha Theory.
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, hedge funds, forecasting, price targets
2/22/16
The Performance Of Process
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
The Performance Of Process
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, discipline, disciplined investment process, position sizing
1/26/16
AN INVESTOR’S NEW YEAR’S REFLECTION
Portfolio Strategy
AN INVESTOR’S NEW YEAR’S REFLECTION
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, position sizing, golden rule, mental capital
12/29/15
Superforecasting: The Future Of Analyst Performance Measurement
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Superforecasting: The Future Of Analyst Performance Measurement
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory Blog, Brier Score, superforecasting, price forecasts
11/30/15
Do Price Targets Matter In Volatile Markets? (And, Why Alpha Theory Should Be A Starting Point Even In Turbulent Times)
Portfolio Optimization
Do Price Targets Matter In Volatile Markets? (And, Why Alpha Theory Should Be A Starting Point Even In Turbulent Times)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, price targets, volatile markets, down directional market
10/12/15
How I Used Alpha Theory To Help My Girlfriend Land Her Dream Job
Portfolio Strategy
Analytics
Risk Management
How I Used Alpha Theory To Help My Girlfriend Land Her Dream Job
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, positive expected return, negative expected return, price targets, probability
9/28/15
Impact Of Minimum And Preferred Return Settings On Optimal Position Size
Portfolio Optimization
Impact Of Minimum And Preferred Return Settings On Optimal Position Size
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, optimal position size, risk-adjusted return, probability-weighted return
8/24/15
Four Reasons Shorts Are Harder Than Longs
Portfolio Strategy
Four Reasons Shorts Are Harder Than Longs
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, short stocks, market trend, cost to borrow, asymmetry
7/24/15
Leverage Adjusted Returns
Portfolio Strategy
Leverage Adjusted Returns
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, hedge funds, leverage adjusted, Sharpe Ratio
6/23/15
Eight Of The 50 Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Portfolio Optimization
Eight Of The 50 Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Novus, hedge funds, position sizing, stock selection
5/26/15
Man + Machine: The Ultimate Decision Maker
Portfolio Strategy
Man + Machine: The Ultimate Decision Maker
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Peter Thiel, Zero to One, man, machine
4/27/15
20% Of The Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Portfolio Optimization
20% Of The Top Performing Hedge Funds Are Alpha Theory Clients
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Wall Street Journal, hedge funds, position sizing, stock selection
3/25/15
Capitalizing On The Random Walk (Part 2)
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Capitalizing On The Random Walk (Part 2)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, random walk, trading, stock trades
2/27/15
The Worst Year Ever For Hedge Funds (Novus Article)
External Articles
The Worst Year Ever For Hedge Funds (Novus Article)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Novus, hedge funds, position sizing
1/30/15
Ignorance Is Bliss...But Bliss Is Expensive
Portfolio Strategy
Ignorance Is Bliss...But Bliss Is Expensive
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, ignorance, investing
12/16/14
Agonizing Over Annualizing
Portfolio Strategy
Agonizing Over Annualizing
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, annualized returns, multi-year returns, compound annual growth rate
11/17/14
Checklist Checkup
Risk Management
Checklist Checkup
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, checklists, fundamental, technical, statistical, risk, qualitative, quantitative, price targets, probabilities
10/27/14
Instinct To Analytics: A Decision Making Spectrum
Portfolio Strategy
Instinct To Analytics: A Decision Making Spectrum
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, decision theory, instinct, analytical model
9/29/14
Bubble Brain – And Why It Is Ok To Sell “Too Early”
Portfolio Strategy
Bubble Brain – And Why It Is Ok To Sell “Too Early”
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, value investors, virtues of selling
8/27/14
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